Brazil

Mega-Sena odds — every division, derived

Every figure on this page is calculated from the game's published rules. The operator's own odds page is linked below as verification — but the working is here, on this page.

The combinatorics

A standard entry picks 6 numbers from 60. The number of possible combinations is:

C(60, 6) = 50,063,860

Division odds

DivisionMatchWinning combinationsDerived oddsProbabilityPrizeOperator says
Sena (6 acertos)6 main11 in 50,063,8601.997e-8Jackpot pool share (35% of prize fund)1 in 50,063,860
Quina (5 acertos)5 main3241 in 154,5186.472e-6Pool share (19% of prize fund)1 in 154,518
Quadra (4 acertos)4 main21,4651 in 2,3320.0429%Pool share (19% of prize fund)1 in 2,332

"Winning combinations" counts how many of the possible outcomes land in that division. "Operator says" is the operator's published figure — shown so you can check us against them (small differences are their rounding).

Odds of winning any prize

1 in 2,298

Sum of all division probabilities — usually the number the ads quote.

Odds of the top prize

1 in 50,063,860

One standard game. Two games doubles it — and it's still tiny.

How long are these odds? Winning the top prize is about as likely as calling 25.6 coin flips in a row correctly (225.6 50,063,860). If you bought one line every draw, at two draws a week you would expect one top-prize win roughly every 481,383 years.

Sources

Last verified: 2026-08-29