Spain

El Gordo de la Primitiva odds — every division, derived

Every figure on this page is calculated from the game's published rules. The operator's own odds page is linked below as verification — but the working is here, on this page.

The combinatorics

A standard entry picks 5 numbers from 54 plus 1 from a separate pool of 10. The number of possible combinations is:

C(54, 5) = 3,162,510 × C(10, 1) = 31,625,100

Division odds

DivisionMatchWinning combinationsDerived oddsProbabilityPrizeOperator says
1ª Categoría (5 + clave)5 main + 1 supp.11 in 31,625,1003.162e-8Jackpot pool share1 in 31,625,100
2ª Categoría (5)5 main + 0 supp.91 in 3,513,9002.846e-7Pool share1 in 3,513,900
3ª Categoría (4 + clave)4 main + 1 supp.2451 in 129,0827.747e-6Pool share1 in 129,082
4ª Categoría (4)4 main + 0 supp.2,2051 in 14,3426.972e-5Pool share
5ª Categoría (3 + clave)3 main + 1 supp.11,7601 in 2,6890.0372%Pool share
6ª Categoría (3)3 main + 0 supp.105,8401 in 2990.3347%Pool share
7ª Categoría (2 + clave)2 main + 1 supp.184,2401 in 1720.5826%Pool share1 in 172
8ª Categoría (2)2 main + 0 supp.1,658,1601 in 19.075.24%Pool share1 in 19

"Winning combinations" counts how many of the possible outcomes land in that division. "Operator says" is the operator's published figure — shown so you can check us against them (small differences are their rounding).

Odds of winning any prize

1 in 16.12

Sum of all division probabilities — usually the number the ads quote.

Odds of the top prize

1 in 31,625,100

One standard game. Two games doubles it — and it's still tiny.

How long are these odds? Winning the top prize is about as likely as calling 24.9 coin flips in a row correctly (224.9 31,625,100). If you bought one line every draw, at two draws a week you would expect one top-prize win roughly every 304,088 years.

Sources

Last verified: 2026-08-29