Multi-national (Europe)

Eurojackpot expected value — is it ever worth playing?

Ticket price versus the sum of prize × probability, adjusted for tax and the jackpot-sharing penalty. Enter the current jackpot and see the honest number.

No current jackpot on file for this game — enter the advertised figure from the operator's site below.

Prize taxation follows the country where the ticket was bought — tax-free in Germany and the Nordics, taxed in e.g. Spain, Italy and Portugal.

Break-even jackpot: at the tax and sales figures entered, EV per ticket reaches zero at a jackpot of about €279,676,320. Two catches: sales — and therefore sharing — rise sharply with the jackpot, and a positive expected value still says nothing about variance or ruin. See why even a +EV jackpot usually isn't worth chasing.

Sources

Last verified: 2026-08-29