United States (California)

Fantasy 5 (California) odds — every division, derived

Every figure on this page is calculated from the game's published rules. The operator's own odds page is linked below as verification — but the working is here, on this page.

The combinatorics

A standard entry picks 5 numbers from 39. The number of possible combinations is:

C(39, 5) = 575,757

Division odds

DivisionMatchWinning combinationsDerived oddsProbabilityPrizeOperator says
Match 5 of 55 main11 in 575,7571.737e-6Top-prize pool share (starts around $60,000–$80,000 and grows until won)1 in 575,757
Match 4 of 54 main1701 in 3,3870.0295%Pool share1 in 3,387
Match 3 of 53 main5,6101 in 1030.9744%Pool share1 in 103
Match 2 of 52 main59,8401 in 9.6210.39%Free Fantasy 5 play

"Winning combinations" counts how many of the possible outcomes land in that division. "Operator says" is the operator's published figure — shown so you can check us against them (small differences are their rounding).

Odds of winning any prize

1 in 8.77

Sum of all division probabilities — usually the number the ads quote.

Odds of the top prize

1 in 575,757

One standard game. Two games doubles it — and it's still tiny.

How long are these odds? Winning the top prize is about as likely as calling 19.1 coin flips in a row correctly (219.1 575,757). If you bought one line every draw, at two draws a week you would expect one top-prize win roughly every 5,536 years.

Sources

Last verified: 2026-08-29