The mathematics of odds
A bonus ball from a separate machine multiplies the whole game; a bonus ball from the same machine leaves the jackpot untouched and only builds extra divisions. The worked difference, with US Powerball, UK Lotto and Australian supplementaries.
"Bonus ball" covers two completely different machines wearing the same name. One kind multiplies the difficulty of the entire game; the other kind doesn't move the jackpot odds by a single combination. Knowing which is which tells you more about a lottery's design than anything else on the ticket.
US Powerball draws 5 white balls from a drum of 69, then 1 red ball from a separate drum of 26. The drums know nothing about each other, so the count of possible tickets is a product:
Without the red ball: C(69,5) = 11,238,513 → 1 in 11,238,513
With it: 11,238,513 × 26 = 292,201,338 → 1 in 292,201,338
One extra ball, drawn from its own machine, makes the game 26 times harder — figures matching the official prize chart.
Here's the elegant design trick. Suppose Powerball instead asked you to pick 6 numbers from 69 in one drum:
C(69,6) = C(69,5) × 64 ÷ 6 = 11,238,513 × 64 ÷ 6 = 119,877,472
That's a 1 in 119.9 million game. The 5+1 format with the same 70 numbers printed on the slip yields 292.2 million — nearly two and a half times longer odds, while feeling easier ("I only have to pick five, then one little ball"). Australia's Powerball works the same way: the 7-from-35 main game is C(35,7) = 6,724,520, and the 1-from-20 Powerball stretches it to 6,724,520 × 20 = 134,490,400 (The Lott). A tiny second drum, a 20-fold stretch.
The separate drum has a second effect: it manufactures prize tiers. Every main-ball outcome now splits into "with" and "without" the bonus, which is how Powerball fields nine divisions from ten drawn balls — and how the friendly "overall odds 1 in 24.87" figure gets built, as unpacked in jackpot odds vs any-prize odds.
Because a separate drum multiplies the whole space, changing its size by a single ball moves the jackpot odds by millions. Mega Millions demonstrated this live in April 2025, when its redesign removed one gold Mega Ball, going from 25 to 24 (megamillions.com):
Before: C(70,5) × 25 = 12,103,014 × 25 = 302,575,350
After: C(70,5) × 24 = 12,103,014 × 24 = 290,472,336
One ball out of the little drum: 12.1 million combinations gone, jackpot odds "improved" by exactly one twenty-fifth. (The same announcement raised the ticket from $2 to $5 — the odds got 4% shorter while the price went up 150%, a trade cost per chance can referee.) Operators tune games this way precisely because the second drum is such a fine-grained lever: adjusting the main pool by one ball changes odds in big lumpy steps, but the bonus drum moves them in neat slices of C(main pool, picks).
UK Lotto draws 6 main balls from 59, then a 7th ball — the Bonus Ball — from the same machine. Your jackpot odds:
C(59,6) = 45,057,474 → 1 in 45,057,474
The bonus ball appears nowhere in that calculation, because the jackpot requires matching the 6 main balls and nothing else. The bonus ball's only job is one prize tier: Match 5 + Bonus. Derive its odds:
Ways to match exactly 5 of the 6 winners: C(6,5) × C(53,1) = 6 × 53 = 318
Of those 318 tickets, the sixth (non-matching) number is one specific ball among the 53 still in the machine — and the bonus is drawn from those 53. So exactly 1 in 53 of them scores the bonus:
318 ÷ 53 = 6 winning combinations
45,057,474 ÷ 6 = 7,509,579 → 1 in 7,509,579 for Match 5 + Bonus
which is precisely the figure the National Lottery publishes. Same machine, zero effect on the jackpot, one extra rung on the prize ladder.
Saturday Lotto draws 6 winning numbers plus two supplementaries from its barrel of 45. Division 1 is still plain C(45,6) = 8,145,060. The supplementaries exist to build Divisions 2, 5 and 6 — for example Division 2 (5 winners + a supplementary) at 1 in 678,755 (The Lott). Oz Lotto goes further with three supplementaries propping up four of its seven divisions.
Both kinds of bonus ball earn their keep, just differently:
Before you compare two games, ask where the bonus ball lives. Same machine: decoration below the jackpot. Separate machine: a multiplier on everything. Then check the numbers yourself with the odds calculator — every figure above is three lines of C(n,k).
Last verified: 2026-08-29