Mexico

Melate odds — every division, derived

Every figure on this page is calculated from the game's published rules. The operator's own odds page is linked below as verification — but the working is here, on this page.

The combinatorics

A standard entry picks 6 numbers from 56. The number of possible combinations is:

C(56, 6) = 32,468,436

After the 6 winning numbers, 1 supplementary/bonus ball is drawn from the same pool — they create extra divisions but don't change the jackpot odds.

Division odds

DivisionMatchWinning combinationsDerived oddsProbabilityPrizeOperator says
1º lugar (6 naturales)6 main11 in 32,468,4363.080e-8Jackpot pool share1 in 32,468,436
2º lugar (5 + adicional)5 main + 1 bonus61 in 5,411,4061.848e-7Pool share1 in 5,411,406
3º lugar (5 aciertos)5 main + 0 bonus2941 in 110,4379.055e-6Pool share1 in 110,437
4º lugar (4 + adicional)4 main + 1 bonus7351 in 44,1752.264e-5Pool share1 in 44,175
5º lugar (4 aciertos)4 main + 0 bonus17,6401 in 1,8410.0543%Pool share1 in 1,841
6º lugar (3 + adicional)3 main + 1 bonus23,5201 in 1,3800.0724%Fixed prize1 in 1,380
7º lugar (3 aciertos)3 main + 0 bonus368,4801 in 88.111.13%Fixed prize1 in 88
8º lugar (2 + adicional)2 main + 1 bonus276,3601 in 1170.8512%Fixed prize1 in 117
9º lugar (2 aciertos)2 main + 0 bonus3,178,1401 in 10.229.79%Fixed prize

"Winning combinations" counts how many of the possible outcomes land in that division. "Operator says" is the operator's published figure — shown so you can check us against them (small differences are their rounding).

Odds of winning any prize

1 in 8.4

Sum of all division probabilities — usually the number the ads quote.

Odds of the top prize

1 in 32,468,436

One standard game. Two games doubles it — and it's still tiny.

How long are these odds? Winning the top prize is about as likely as calling 25 coin flips in a row correctly (225 32,468,436). If you bought one line every draw, at two draws a week you would expect one top-prize win roughly every 312,197 years.

Sources

Last verified: 2026-08-29