Philippines

Ultra Lotto 6/58 expected value — is it ever worth playing?

Ticket price versus the sum of prize × probability, adjusted for tax and the jackpot-sharing penalty. Enter the current jackpot and see the honest number.

No current jackpot on file for this game — enter the advertised figure from the operator's site below.

Philippine lottery prizes above ₱10,000 carry a 20% final tax (TRAIN law); the advertised jackpot is pre-tax.

Break-even jackpot: at the tax and sales figures entered, EV per ticket reaches zero at a jackpot of about ₱967,683,950 (the advertised minimum is ₱75,000,000). Two catches: sales — and therefore sharing — rise sharply with the jackpot, and a positive expected value still says nothing about variance or ruin. See why even a +EV jackpot usually isn't worth chasing.

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Last verified: 2026-08-29