Poland

Lotto (Poland) odds — every division, derived

Every figure on this page is calculated from the game's published rules. The operator's own odds page is linked below as verification — but the working is here, on this page.

The combinatorics

A standard entry picks 6 numbers from 49. The number of possible combinations is:

C(49, 6) = 13,983,816

Division odds

DivisionMatchWinning combinationsDerived oddsProbabilityPrizeOperator says
I stopień (6 trafień)6 main11 in 13,983,8167.151e-8Jackpot pool share — guaranteed minimum 3,000,000 zł1 in 13,983,816
II stopień (5 trafień)5 main2581 in 54,2011.845e-5Pool share
III stopień (4 trafienia)4 main13,5451 in 1,0320.0969%Pool share
IV stopień (3 trafienia)3 main246,8201 in 56.661.77%Fixed 35 zł (since 18 Aug 2026)

"Winning combinations" counts how many of the possible outcomes land in that division. "Operator says" is the operator's published figure — shown so you can check us against them (small differences are their rounding).

Odds of winning any prize

1 in 53.66

Sum of all division probabilities — usually the number the ads quote.

Odds of the top prize

1 in 13,983,816

One standard game. Two games doubles it — and it's still tiny.

How long are these odds? Winning the top prize is about as likely as calling 23.7 coin flips in a row correctly (223.7 13,983,816). If you bought one line every draw, at two draws a week you would expect one top-prize win roughly every 134,460 years.

Sources

Last verified: 2026-08-29